fivethirtyeight podcast transcriptsamtrak san jose to sacramento schedule
fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts
On the Conversations with Tyler podcast, produced by the Mercatus Center at George Mason University, celebrated polymath and academic economist Tyler Cowen explores the minds and methods of today's top thinkers. The crew discuss the 2021 gubernatorial elections in Virginia and New Jersey and the very likely recall election in California. And they try to guess what Americans think about love and relationships in a Valentine's Day-themed game. They also mark two years since the U.S. shut down in response to the coronavirus pandemic, by using data to explore some of the ways American life has changed in that time. Today, we wanted to share the first episode of the ABC News podcast series, "In Plain Sight: Lady Bird Johnson," which uncovers the former first lady's surprisingly powerful role in the Johnson presidency and includes history-making revelations about Lyndon B. Johnsons time in office. They determine whether we live in a free or repres They also debate whether the AARP is correct in assessing that women voters over the age of 50 are likely to decide the outcome of the 2022 midterms. The crew recaps that race and other notable results from the June 14 primaries. Preview of Spotify. Were still waiting to find out what the deal is, but this focus on slow moving objects in U.S. airspace was kicked off by a Chinese spy balloon that the U.S. shot down earlier this month. Good Contents Are Everywhere, But Here, We Deliver The Best of The Best.Please Hold on! They also ask whether a recent poll that suggested about 15 percent of Americans believe in the QAnon conspiracy theory is a "good or bad use of polling.". Lastly, they ask whether a recent survey of Americans attitudes about secession is a good or bad use of polling. Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and game-changers every week. They also analyze a new poll from YouGov that breaks down why 78 percent of Americans say they have changed their mind on one or more political issue over the course of their lives. Feb. 28GLASTONBURY When Jonathan K. Luiz starts work as town manager March 31, he will be making $190,000 per year. FiveThirtyEight - YouTube Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, sports, science and life. The board of directors voted Friday to accept the resignation of David Held, effective June 1, and will then offer him the same job on . 01:06 PM. We hear about the decade-long relationship between the two of them, one that dates back to the Kennedys arrival in Washington in the mid-50s, and hear fascinating observations these women make about each other. On the final day of COP26, we look at whether these types of international agreements actually shape countries climate policies and whether there are other factors that are more important. What happens when a former president is facing all kinds of legal liability on the federal and local level, but is also still the de facto party leader and considering another run for the White House? The crew debates which states should vote first in the presidential primaries if the Iowa caucuses were to go away. But some Republicans are still jockeying for position to be the next leader of the party, the most prominent of which may be Florida Governor Ron DeSantis. American government is designed to have components that are not directly accountable to the public. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection Don't Look Great. They also discuss recent polling showing that President Biden has disproportionately lost support among traditionally Democratic voting groups. Thanks! Samuel Charap is a senior political scientist at the RAND Corporation and author of the book Everyone Loses: The Ukraine Crisis and the Ruinous Contest for Post-Soviet Eurasia. The crew previews Californias primaries, which offer unique insight into the divides within the Democratic Party. The crew asks whether Biden's approval rating could be boosted by the American Rescue Plan and how popular he'd have to be to avoid a backlash at the midterms. They also assess whether narratives from the 2021 gubernatorial election in Virginia hold up in light of new data, and debate the hottest legislative topic in Washington: permanent Daylight Saving Time. FiveThirtyEight Politics 199 Episodes Share Follow Episodes About 61 minutes | Feb 27, 2023 How The War In Ukraine Could Go Nuclear To mark a year since Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Galen Druke brings back two experts who first joined the podcast when the war began. Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss why live caller surveys are no longer the gold standard in polling and what it means for the future of the industry. Institutions are the rules of the game of our societies that direct our everyday lives in fundamental ways. is it illegal to wear military uniform in australia. The crew also discusses how Americans are responding to the administrations handling of the end of the war. The crew discusses why Bidens favorability is falling and how much Democrats should worry about it. The team also looks at how debates about "Critical Race Theory" entered the culture wars, particularly in schools and state legislatures. Texas has been in a dire situation this week. In this installment, Robert Crews, a History professor from Stanford University, joins to reflect on the history of the Taliban and the current political landscape in Afghanistan. We look at two of this weeks biggest stories -- the killing of Daunte Wright in Minnesota and the U.S. Food and Drug Administrations decision to pause the use of the Johnson and Johnson covid-19 vaccine. Transcripts by Erin Wade. Finally, they analyze why Bidens approval rating has increased by nearly five points since late July. In light of new data showing union membership at its lowest point since the Bureau of Labor Statistics began counting, they also look at how that decline has shaped U.S. politics. You can't imitate a worldview. Then the crew explains why they consider four competitive U.S. House districts to be bellwether elections for which party will win control of the House. So, the usual. The crew looks at the issues that have shaped the Virginia and New Jersey gubernatorial races and rounds up some of the other local races and ballot measures around the country. It was a night of firsts, with the first primaries of 2022 taking place in Texas and President Bidens first real State of the Union speech. President Bidens $2 trillion social spending and climate change agenda is in its most tenuous position yet after West Virginia Sen. Joe Manchin announced that he will not support the Build Back Better Plan. The Perks Workers Want Also Make Them More Productive, Democrats Are Open To Ditching Biden In 2024. They also debate the meaning of a recent poll from Axios that suggests Americans are exhausted. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. @Nate_Cohn: The Democrats are putting up an impressive showing in VA-4, the first special congressional election of the cycle. It's a busy week! 1 min read; Jun 05, 2022; Bagikan : parade of homes matterport . FiveThirtyEight Politics ABC News (US) Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. They also review a new report from the American Association of Public Opinion Research on why election polls had a historically large error in 2020. They also ask whether a sentiment analysis suggesting that the press is more negative on Biden than it was on President Trump is a "good or bad use of data.". They also scrutinize a new survey that suggests most Americans think "The West Wing" and other political TV shows are reflective of how politics works. June 2, 2016. The crew discusses the results of the primary elections in Georgia, Texas, Alabama, Arkansas and Minnesota. As Emanuel Macron has occupied the middle of the political spectrum in France, with a focus on cooperation among European nations, the opposition parties have moved toward a nationalist, populist agenda. They also discuss the trend of amateur candidates running in and winning House primary elections, and ask whether Biden's dismissal of the polls is a "good or bad use of polling.". Galen speaks with James Acton, the co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, about how leaders and experts weigh the risks of a nuclear conflict. They also review the mostly finalized congressional maps for the cycle and discuss new polling on American polarization. Legal scholar Kate Shaw also digs into some of the specifics of the terms major cases, particularly on election law. As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. How did the polling averages and seat-gain projections compare with the actual results? They also discuss moderate Senate Democrats' push to amend some of the provisions in the American Rescue plan and look at the politics and science behind the push to loosen covid-19 restrictions in states. The crew discusses how Russias invasion of Ukraine is affecting U.S. politics and the RAND Corportation's Samuel Charap joins to explain the root of Russia's aggression. Nate and Galen discuss the latest twists in the midterms and answer listener questions in this installment of "Model Talk." From host Jody Avirgan (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums, pitches, pools and slopes that shed a light on the ups and downs of being human. The crew discusses what the political environment is likely to look like in 2022 based on history and current indicators. They also ask why support for gun control measures hasn't translated into new laws and look at steps the Pew Research Center is taking to ensure they have a representative sample of Republicans in their panel surveys. New rules for the baseball season, Richard Belzer dies and more prison for Harvey Weinstein and R. Kelly | Bonus sports & entertainment episode. Most recently, he ran and hosted 30 for 30 Podcasts, part of ESPN Films. Happy holidays! Galen speaks with Atlanta Journal Constitution reporters Tia Mitchell and Greg Bluestein about how the Georgia senate runoff is looking in the final stretch. You can get between 30 cents to $1.10 for every audio minute, which sums up to $18 - $66 per audio hour. The crew discusses how much the two parties are spending on campaign ads and if it could factor into the forecasts shift. Posted by October 30, 2021 bangladesh police ranks on fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts October 30, 2021 bangladesh police ranks on fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts This is the final episode. Galen and Nate react to former President Trump's entrance into the 2024 presidential race and debate he stands in a possible matchup against Florida Governor Ron DeSantis. Science reporter Maggie Koerth also joins to talk about shifting attitudes on climate change among Republicans. They also consider whether the ensuing confirmation process will impact the countrys broader political environment in a Midterm election year. They also discuss the accuracy of opinion polling conducted in authoritarian Russia and war-torn Ukraine. Tuesday night was a test for some big names in the Republican Party in Wyoming and Alaska. Democratic representative from California Adam Schiff discusses why he thinks American democracy is in trouble, which he lays out in his new book "Midnight In Washington: How We Almost Lost Our Democracy And Still Could.". The crew breaks down the results of the June 7 primaries. The report relies on advanced climate modeling to illustrate where global warming is headed. Last week, we began to explore the most high-profile of those mayoral contests -- the New York City Democratic primary. They also cover the redistricting process happening around the country after a number of big recent developments. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss what's behind the recent movement in the forecast and answer questions from listeners. The crew discusses how Americans are feeling about COVID-19 and what types of restrictions they do and don't support after almost two years. What does the bench of Democratic leadership look like beyond Biden? In recent weeks, Democrats odds of keeping control of the Senate after the 2022 midterms have ticked up to sixty percent, according to our deluxe forecast model. Given some of the caveats in the poll, the crew asks whether it's a good or bad use of polling. Americans' political views oftentimes don't align neatly with a single party, but instead draw on both conservative and liberal positions. In the immediate aftermath of the Jan. 6th attack on the U.S. Capitol, it appeared that Republican leaders might be ready to break ties with then-President Trump once and for all. The crew discusses what we've learned from President Biden's first 100 days in office and from his first address to a joint session of Congress. The crew looks at why it took 15 votes to get Rep. Kevin McCarthy elected House Speaker and what that process says about the two years ahead and the GOP more broadly. Thee also tracks the latest voting restrictions being considered by Georgia Republicans, including a proposal to end early voting on Sundays, which is when Black churches traditionally mobilize voters through "souls to the polls" events. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate and Galen discuss a recently published assessment of how our 2022 midterm forecast performed. The crew looks at how some of the most competitive primaries in 2022 are shaping up. What role do Liz Cheney-type Republicans have to play in the future of the GOP (if any)? They also touch on the health of the polling industry and how much Biden's success in a potential 2024 primary hangs on Democrats' performance at the midterms. I'm Galen Truk. police- settlements. Lastly, the team analyzes how the educational divide is shaping American politics. They also ask whether it's too early to conclude that the leak of a draft Supreme Court opinion overturning Roe has had little impact on the political environment. They also address concerns that the 2020 Census resulted in an undercount of Latinos. In her new book, Limitless: The Federal Reserve Takes On A New Age Of Crisis, New York Times reporter Jeanna Smialek focuses on another unelected institution with a lot of power over American life: the Federal Reserve. According to a recent Marist poll, inflation is now Americans leading economic concern. The crew discusses how Bidens approval rating may impact the midterm election, whether tracking Google search terms over time is a better barometer than traditional polling, and how Black voters are changing the political landscape of Georgia. FiveThirtyEight Politics 295 views 25 Feb 2021 Transcribe your podcast [00:00:06] Hello and welcome to the 538 Politics podcast. Ron DeSantis over Trump for the 2024 GOP presidential primary. The crew tries to rank the electoral significance of some of the biggest stories in the news right now. Sign up to get unlimited songs and podcasts with occasional ads. About 32 million Americans get summoned for jury duty each year. They also previewed and caught up on some elections, including Alaskas special election to replace longtime Alaska congressman Don Young that took place this past weekend. Sept. 25, 2014. negro-leagues-player- ratings. January 23, 2023 Examined What comes next after Texas school shooting? And what does Florida's new voting law tell us about the GOP's efforts to change the way Americans vote, and the party's larger motivations? The crew discusses why Sarah Palin may not be a shoe-in for a vacant House seat in Alaska. Transcript for What if America had a lot more political parties? As the broader electorate shifted left in 2020, compared to 2016, Latino voters shifted 8 percentage points to the right. And they look at the experiences of urban Republicans and rural Democrats in a country increasingly sorted geographically and politically. The crew debates whether a recent Gallup poll showing that more Americans identify with the GOP than the Democratic Party is a "good or bad use of polling." Please subscribe to the Dow-ballot on Apple Podcasts and leave . The FiveThirtyEight 2022 midterms forecast is live, and it shows that Republicans are strong favorites to win the House while the Senate is a toss up between the two parties. Find us at ThisDayPod.com. They also discuss the latest developments in the current round of redistricting. The crew puts Georgia's new voting laws in context and discusses the challenges facing the Biden administration on immigration policy in the short and long term. It's tempting to use the special election to gauge the national political environment, but the crew explains why one election alone isn't a reliable indicator. The Rules of the Game podcast discusses and compares democratic institutions from around the world. Although much of our elections-related attention is already trained on 2024, there are consequential elections happening this very calendar year. As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. The team also discusses public opinion on gun laws after recent mass shootings in Texas, New York and California. The book is the first big reported account of the 2020 campaign in its entirety and is written by Jonathan Allen, senior political analyst with NBC News, and Amie Parnes, senior correspondent for The Hill. Editor Chadwick Matlin turns the tables on Galen Druke and asks him questions about what he's learned from covering the 2022 election and his time as host of the podcast. The crew discusses what's in the "Freedom to Vote: John R. Lewis Act" and why Senate Democrats have taken it up despite unmoving opposition. They also consider whether abortion as an issue will motivate voters in other elections this fall and look at the primary winners in Arizona, Missouri, Michigan and Washington. At the beginning of the millennium, about two-thirds of Americans opposed same-sex marriage, and a third supported it. They also assess how polls performed in 2019 and 2020 in general, with the benefit of hindsight and updated pollster ratings. We also look at the future of inflation with economist Kenneth Rogoff. Then, Equis Research co-founder Carlos Odio joins the pod to break down a new poll that asked Latino Americans which party they are favoring in the midterm elections. From 2008 to 2019, the percentage of people who said they got their news from local papers fell by more than half. He is one of the ten House Republicans who voted to impeach President Trump after his supporters attacked the Capitol on Jan. 6. The Gabfest, featuring Emily Bazelon, John Dickerson, and David Plotz, is the kind of informal and irreverent discussion Washington journalists have PODCAST-19 brings you the latest evidence on the COVID-19 pandemic. heritage commons university of utah. And if partisan loyalists were to make their way onto the Fed board, that degree of power could be abused. Tester faces a tough bid, but don't sleep on Brown being the weaker of the two. Tensions between the U.S. and China have grown in recent years and, in this installment, the crew looks at changing public opinion of China and how it could shape American politics. Dive in and Share your insights! They also break down how candidate misconduct is generally factored into the FiveThirtyEight model. This is the second episode. gold rush supreme second chance winners. Download this theme at theoneamradio.bandcamp.com/track/whatspoint-theme. Politics Podcast: Why The Federal Reserve's Power Is 'Limitless', Politics Podcast: How The War In Ukraine Could Go Nuclear, Politics Podcast: Some Republicans Are Souring On Aid To Ukraine. The crew discusses why the Republican National Committee chose to censure Representatives Cheney and Kinzinger and how different parts of the party view the violent events of January 6th, 2021. How FiveThirtyEight Calculates Pollster Ratings. It was his first big national speech since the midterms and a preview of his likely 2024 reelection bid. Progressive Democrats have struggled to break through in one of the most high-profile elections of the year: the Democratic primary for New York City mayor. The U.S. House Districts To Watch In 2022: 10/17/22 The team debates if Americans. As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. FT Podcasts FT Weekend podcast 31 min listen Best of: Chef Mashama Bailey on reclaiming African-American food The award-winning chef explains her creative process 2 hours ago FT News Briefing. security jobs paying $30 an hour; fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts The crew discusses how President Bidens executive action that forgives up to $20,000 of student loan debt will impact politics and the economy. Our tool analyzes your audio using Google voice recognition. 3 min read. The crew discusses the results of the primary elections in New Jersey and Virginian and looks at the debate playing out between the two parties over how much wealthy Americans and corporations should be paying in taxes. Legal reporter Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux speaks with Galen Druke about the Justices' arguments for overturning Roe v. Wade, where the legal debate goes next and how this contrasts and complements American opinion on abortion. The Supreme Court is probably the most recognizable example, but its not the only one. Americans Like Bidens Student Debt Forgiveness Plan. While it appears unlikely that 17 Republicans will join Democrats in voting to convict the former president, the evidence presented could help shape the views of the public regarding what happened at the Capitol on January 6, 2021. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. Each week, host Jody Avirgan brings you stories and interviews about how data is changing our lives. The crew breaks down a poll that asked Americans to identify from good to evil and lawful to chaotic on the Dungeons and Dragons alignment chart. As of Monday, all U.S. troops have withdrawn from Afghanistan following a chaotic evacuation from the country. Democrat and former state Rep. Mary Peltola won Alaska's special congressional election on Wednesday, defeating Republicans Sarah Palin and Nick Begich III. In this installment, the crew plays a game of midterm trivia and analyzes the press coverage surrounding the latest decline in life expectancy. The crew discusses the politically thorny issue of mental acuity in an increasingly elderly U.S. government, and what Americans think about age limits for public office. FiveThirtyEight's COVID-19 podcast is laser-focused on evidence. FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast Feb. 21, 2023 Politics Podcast: Some Republicans Are Souring On Aid To Ukraine Feb. 16, 2023 Nikki Haley Has Tough Competition In Trump And DeSantis By Galen. The crew discusses Congress's recent slew of legislation and whether that trend will continue with the new "Inflation Reduction Act." On Thursday, the Supreme Court wrapped up its first term with a 6-3 conservative majority on the bench. Hello and welcome to the identity politics podcast I'm deal injury work. FiveThirtyEight's political content often includes fact-driven statistical analysis. The crew discusses the arguments Biden laid out and where he stands with American voters two years into his presidency. The crew checks in on the California recall election and other upcoming races, and talks about how a Trump endorsement is shaping a Wyoming primary. Maybe its time to get rid of election polls. With the benefit of hindsight and some time to breathe, Galen Druke reflects on key moments of the 2020 race with the authors of the new book, Lucky: How Joe Biden Barely Won The Presidency. The crew previews Tuesday's primaries in Georgia as well as contests in Arkansas, Alabama, Texas and Minnesota. The crew discusses what comes next in Democrats' attempt to pass election reforms, after their proposals hit roadblocks in the Senate. Why Valentina Shevchenko Is A Huge Favorite And Jon Jones Isn't At UFC 285,A pair of championships are on the line at UFC 285 in Las Vegas Saturday night, and both title bouts offer a study in contrasts. They also discuss ranked choice voting and the reasons for delays in New York City's final vote count in the mayoral election. [00:00:19] They also analyze the court's other recent rulings on gun restrictions and school prayer and preview some of Tuesday's biggest primary elections. This is an unofficial transcript meant for reference. The crew, joined by ABC News White House Correspondent Karen Travers, discusses Trump's legacy, how he changed politics and what the lasting effects will be. Dec. 7, 2017 | Apple Podcasts | ESPN App | RSS 03 / Black Representation In North Carolina The debate over how districts should be drawn to ensure that minority voters are represented in Congress. FiveThirtyEight Filed under Podcast-19 Jun. They also check in on where the redistricting process stands around the country and ask what the two parties should be thankful for this Thanksgiving. They also continue to track the types of candidates former President Trump has endorsed in the 2022 Republican primaries. It helps our wrinkle, which helps other discover the shop or just tell them on about this series, we'll be .
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